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No 43-2024, J. Klejdysz, T. Zawisza: Transitions between Employment and Self-Employment in Response to Differential Taxation

How does the tax treatment of entrepreneurial activity affect the decision to start a business? We study this question in the context of a major tax reform in Poland that introduced a flat tax for business owners, leaving the taxation of employees unchanged. Using a difference-in-differences framework and data on the universe of Polish taxpayers, we find that a 1 percentage point increase in the tax differential at the top of the income distribution leads to a 1.4% increase in the share of self-employed five years after the reform. The increase is primarily driven by transitions from employment to self-employment, in particular solo self-employment (self-employment without dependent workers). Moreover, the transitions occur in industries with a high human-capital component. Altogether, we find that high-income taxpayers respond strongly to the increased attractiveness of self-employment by starting a business, that such behavior shows considerable persistence, that it accumulates over time, and much of it is likely to reflect income reclassification rather than genuine entrepreneurial activity.

Materials

MF Working Papers No 43-2024
MFWP​_No​_432024​_EN.pdf 1.41MB
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